7:04:46ShinmeraIf I remember correctly from reading about disks it's pretty much impossible to predict when a disk is going to fail or how long it's going to last.
7:05:10ShinmeraWhich makes it really hard to purchase "durable" disks
8:49:24moodBased on the stats Backblaze publishes every quarter you can slightly increase your chances by avoiding Seagate, but there's never any guarantees. In my experience the SMART stats are pretty good predictors once you have the drive running though
8:53:26ShinmeraSMART reported 2 bad sectors for months, and nothing else.